Senate Winner Odds for Each State in November 2025
The next time we run through a U.S. Senate election season in November 2026, we'll have 33 of the 100 seats up for grabs.
There are also two special Senate elections for Florida and Ohio, bringing the grand total to 35.
BetOnline.ag has released wagering odds for each of the 35 elections, as well as the over/under margin of victory totals for each.
Additionally, there are odds for which party will control the Senate after the 2026 cycle, to which the Republicans are heavy favorites.
|
U.S. SENATE CONTROL - 2026 |
ODDS |
IMPLIED PROBABILITY |
|
Republicans |
1/7 |
87.5% |
|
Democrats |
4/1 |
12.5% |
|
STATE/PARTY |
ODDS |
MARGIN OF VICTORY |
|
Alabama |
||
|
Republicans |
1/100 |
13.5% |
|
Democrats |
20/1 |
|
|
Alaska |
||
|
Republicans |
1/40 |
9.5% |
|
Democrats |
10/1 |
|
|
Arkansas |
||
|
Republicans |
1/500 |
29.5% |
|
Democrats |
65/1 |
|
|
Colorado |
||
|
Democrats |
1/40 |
13.5% |
|
Republicans |
10/1 |
|
|
Delaware |
||
|
Democrats |
1/200 |
24.5% |
|
Republicans |
40/1 |
|
|
Florida |
||
|
Republicans |
1/20 |
8.5% |
|
Democrats |
7/1 |
|
|
Georgia |
||
|
Democrats |
5/7 |
0.5% |
|
Republicans |
1/1 |
|
|
Idaho |
||
|
Republicans |
1/500 |
31.5% |
|
Democrats |
65/1 |
|
|
Illinois |
||
|
Democrats |
1/50 |
14.5% |
|
Republicans |
12/1 |
|
|
Iowa |
||
|
Republicans |
1/10 |
6.5% |
|
Democrats |
11/2 |
|
|
Kansas |
||
|
Republicans |
1/40 |
12.5% |
|
Democrats |
10/1 |
|
|
Kentucky |
||
|
Republicans |
1/50 |
20.5% |
|
Democrats |
12/1 |
|
|
Louisiana |
||
|
Republicans |
1/500 |
30.5% |
|
Democrats |
65/1 |
|
|
Maine |
||
|
Democrats |
20/33 |
0.5% |
|
Republicans |
5/4 |
|
|
Massachusetts |
||
|
Democrats |
1/100 |
35.5% |
|
Republicans |
20/1 |
|
|
Michigan |
||
|
Democrats |
1/3 |
1.5% |
|
Republicans |
2/1 |
|
|
Minnesota |
||
|
Democrats |
1/15 |
8.5% |
|
Republicans |
6/1 |
|
|
Mississippi |
||
|
Republicans |
1/100 |
14.5% |
|
Democrats |
20/1 |
|
|
Montana |
||
|
Republicans |
1/40 |
14.5% |
|
Democrats |
10/1 |
|
|
Nebraska |
||
|
Republicans |
1/100 |
18.5% |
|
Democrats |
20/1 |
|
|
New Jersey |
||
|
Democrats |
1/200 |
24.5% |
|
Republicans |
40/1 |
|
|
New Mexico |
||
|
Democrats |
1/40 |
9.5% |
|
Republicans |
10/1 |
|
|
New Hampshire |
||
|
Democrats |
1/7 |
4.5% |
|
Republicans |
4/1 |
|
|
North Carolina |
||
|
Republicans |
1/2 |
1.5% |
|
Democrats |
3/2 |
|
|
Ohio |
||
|
Republicans |
1/15 |
6.5% |
|
Democrats |
6/1 |
|
|
Oklahoma |
||
|
Republicans |
1/200 |
29.5% |
|
Democrats |
40/1 |
|
|
Oregon |
||
|
Democrats |
1/100 |
18.5% |
|
Republicans |
20/1 |
|
|
Rhode Island |
||
|
Democrats |
1/200 |
31.5% |
|
Republicans |
40/1 |
|
|
South Carolina |
||
|
Republicans |
1/40 |
12.5% |
|
Democrats |
10/1 |
|
|
South Dakota |
||
|
Republicans |
1/500 |
33.5% |
|
Democrats |
65/1 |
|
|
Tennessee |
||
|
Republicans |
1/200 |
27.5% |
|
Democrats |
40/1 |
|
|
Texas |
||
|
Republicans |
1/10 |
7.5% |
|
Democrats |
11/2 |
|
|
Virgina |
||
|
Democrats |
1/40 |
14.5% |
|
Republicans |
10/1 |
|
|
West Virginia |
||
|
Republicans |
1/200 |
38.5% |
|
Democrats |
40/1 |
|
|
Wyoming |
||
|
Republicans |
1/500 |
38.5% |
|
Democrats |
65/1 |
